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The 89% Bond Yield Curve Recession Signal That’s Still Flashing since 2022! Are You Ready? Warren Buffet follows this yield curve too in 2022 citing valuation concerns.

Discover what a bond yield inversion is and how it relates to recessions.

The U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted in 2022—a signal that has preceded nearly every U.S. recession for decades. Yet, despite this historic warning, a recession hasn’t hit, thanks to massive cash injections from QE, the 2017 tax bill, and new stablecoin regulations like the 2025 GENIUS Act, which boosted demand for Treasuries and may have delayed recession signals.

Learn more about the GENIUS Act and stablecoins in this video chapter.

Still, history shows: the longer the delay, the greater the risk when the yield curve finally normalizes—especially if the Fed raises rates during an inversion. A 50% crash means you’d need a 100% gain just to recover. Even if no crash comes, high-yield cash positions offer safety and returns. That’s why I track key price divergences shaped by macro forces.

Don’t wait for a black swan to regret FOMO. Follow the charts. Stay informed. Stay ready

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