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Rising U.S.–Venezuela tensions have pushed the two countries to the brink of a potential conflict, as Washington prepares new covert operations and increases military strength in the Caribbean, citing alleged links between Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and drug trafficking, accusations he denies while claiming the U.S. seeks regime change and control of Venezuela’s oil. International airlines have suspended flights amid safety warnings, and the U.S. has labeled the so-called “Cartel of the Suns” a terrorist organization while offering a $50 million reward for information leading to Maduro’s arrest. Despite the escalating military posture, both sides signal possible openness to dialogue, and regional actors such as Brazil’s President Lula are urging diplomacy to avoid war. Analysts warn that while limited strikes and covert actions are more likely than a full invasion, the situation remains volatile, with the risk of prolonged guerrilla conflict and broader regional instability if diplomacy fails.
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