Скачать или смотреть Forecast Discussion - March 6, 2026 - Widespread Severe Weather Event on Tap Today

For educational purposes only. If you live in the affected areas, please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service office for the most accurate and up-to-date information.

The Storm Prediction Center has maintained an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) from Iowa to Texas, surrounded by a large Slight Risk (level 2/5). A complex setup is on tap for today with multiple severe weather regimes. For northern portions of the risk, storms with an all-hazards threat should develop along and ahead of a frontal boundary by mid-afternoon, congealing into a line with time. Farther south, supercells are possible within a warm advection regime from north Texas to Missouri; all hazards, some significant, are possible with these. A conditional risk for a supercell or two exists farther west along the dryline; should a storm fire, all hazards would be possible. The threat continues into tomorrow, as well.

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Chapters

0:00 Introduction, risk areas
5:27 Current data analysis
18:49 Model analysis
46:32 Wrap-up