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The U.S. yield curve just flipped its signal—and history says that’s when the real countdown begins. In “2 More Months Until It Begins,” we break down how a steepening curve isn’t relief… it’s the start of the next phase. From 1989 to 2007, every major downturn followed the same three-step sequence: inversion, steepening, contraction. The question is—are we there again?

In this video, we’ll cover:
• Why the steepening curve means the system is adjusting, not healing
• The historical pattern that connects 1989, 2001, 2007, and today
• How rising real yields and soft Treasury auctions expose stress under the surface
• The three key tells—auctions, real yields, and central bank flows—that decide whether this is the start of the next recession

Stay till the end to see how the countdown clock lines up with the labor market, credit spreads, and policy pivots. If you’ve been wondering when the “next phase” truly begins, the curve just whispered the answer.

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