Скачать или смотреть The Civil War in Syria: Prospects for Peace and the Role of External Actors

This panel aims to discuss possibilities for settlement in Syria and reappraise the role of regional and global powers, including Türkiye.

In its 13th year, the Syrian Civil War continues without a formal ceasefire and attempts at post-war settlement have proven futile. Ongoing localized clashes between regime forces and the opposition persist, with President Bashar al-Assad securing approximately 70% of Syria. Although some view al-Assad’s resilience as a pyrrhic victory that is supported by Russia and Iran, he has maintained relative control and normalized relations with several Arab states. Amid evolving regional dynamics, Türkiye's Syria policy also has undergone multiple shifts in the past decade. The longstanding impasse in Turkish-Syrian relations further complicates efforts to achieve a lasting settlement in the Syrian conflict.

In light of these developments, this panel addresses the following questions:

In the context of peace settlement efforts, what is the current status and evolution of the Syrian Civil War, and who are the key players actively involved in conflict resolution?
How has Türkiye’s Syria policy evolved since the onset of the Civil War, and what are the prospects for a normalization between Türkiye and Syria?
What are the factors driving the rapprochement between the Arab states and Bashar al-Assad and what will be the implications of renewed relations for the Syrian conflict?