ROUND ROBIN POD: WEEK 2 LINES - early leans and betting info about NFL WEEK 2

We look at every game heading into week 2 and use a ton of betting trends to start to form opinions on what we're going to do next Sunday.

In the last 10 years, when two undefeated teams play in Week 2 the HOME team has gone 25-12 (68%) ATS per @Bet_Labs.
Week 2 matches:
Dolphins -2.5 vs. BUF
Cowboys -6.5 vs. NO
Lions -7 vs. TB
Vikings +6 vs. SF
Patriots +3 vs. SEA Texans -7 vs. CHI

The Saints closed as 3.5-pt favorites vs. Panthers.
This week, they are about 6-pt 'dogs to the Cowboys.
We haven't seen a team win by 20+ in Week 1 be listed as a 'dog of 6 or more points since the 49ers and Blaine Gabbert did so in 2016. Additionally, only two teams have closed as 7+ pt 'dogs after a Week 1 thrashing - the 2016 49ers and the 1998 Cowboys
- both losing by exactly 19 pts.
The Bucs closed as 4-pt favorites vs. Commanders.
This week, they are about 7-pt 'dogs to the Lions.
Since 1990, we've only seen four teams win Week 1 win by 17+ pts and be a 7+ pt 'dog in Week 2, with the Rams last year being the last team to do so.
Those four teams are 1-3 ATS, but 0-4 SU, losing by
17.5 PPG.
Different weeks for both teams.

NFL favorites went 13-3 straight up on the moneyline
(9-7 ATS) in Week 1. That is tied for the best SU record for Week 1 favorites since realignment in 2002 (also 13-3 SU in 2009).
Favorites also started the season 4-0 SU/ATS in night games during Week 1.
The 2020, 2014, 2009 and 2007 seasons were the last times favorites went undefeated SU in Week 1 night games. The last time the favorites in all the night games went undefeated SU/ATS in Week 1 was back in 1995, when they had just two games. This year is the first in which favorites went undefeated SU/ATS in Week 1 night games with at least 3 games played.
The overreaction to favorites based on Week 1 has arrived - 10 of 16 games have seen the opening favorites line get bigger. That mark of 10+ games would be the most in a Week 2 in the past 20 years - no season in that span even closed with nine such

The Jets, Colts, Panthers and Falcons were held to 25 minutes of possession or less in their Week 1 losses, the four lowest times in the NFL.
Last decade, teams to hold 25 minutes of possession or less in Week 1 are just 8-23 SU (26%) and 6-25 ATS (19%) in their Week 2 game.

Since 2003, when two winless teams play in Week 2 the underdog has gone 50-25-3 (67%) ATS per @Bet_Labs.
Week 2 matches:
Giants +1.5 at WAS
Packers +3.5 vs. IND
Browns +3 at JAC
Raiders +9.5 at BAL
Titans +3.5 vs. NYJ
Rams +1.5 at ARI


Of all the NFC teams last 10 yrs .. MINNESOTA is the toughest place to get a win
Regardless of the QB .. the coach .. etc.,
Vikings are 52-29 ... 8th best in NFL & 3rd best in NFC ( GB #1 Dallas #2 )
never have Super Bowl roster either they're gonna cover that 6


In the last 10 years, when two undefeated teams play in Week 2 the HOME team has gone 25-12 (68%) ATS per @Bet_Labs.
Week 2 matches:
Dolphins -2.5 vs. BUF
Cowboys -6.5 vs. NO
Lions -7 vs. TB
Vikings +6 vs. SF
Patriots +3 vs. SEA Texans -7 vs. CHI

In Justin Fields' 21st career road start, he's slated to be a favorite for the first time



Mike Tomlin as a road 'dog: 41-28-1 ATS (59.4%)
Mike Tomlin as a road favorite: 32-40-2 ATS (44.4%)


COACH
ATS RECORD
FAVORITE
UNDERDOG
John Harbaugh
132-120-8 (52.3%)
86-88-5 (49.4%)
46-32-3 (58.6%)
Sean McDermott
59-50-6 (53.9%)
37-32-4 (53.4%)
22-18-2 (55%)
Zac Taylor
44-37-2 (54.3%)
20-17-2 (54.1%)
24-20-0 (54.5%)
Kevin Stefanski
30-35-3 (46.3%)
16-22-1 (42.3%)
14-14-1 (50%)
Sean Payton
140-116-3 (54.7%)
89-82-1 (52%)
51-34-2 (59.8%)
DeMeco Ryans
9-9-0 (50%)
3-6-0 (33.3%)
6-3-0 (66.7%)
Shane Steichen
10-8-0 (55.6%)
6-2-0 (75%)
4-6-0 (40%)
Doug Pederson
56-59-0 (48.7%)
30-33-0 (47.6%)
26-26-0 (50%)
Andy Reid
176-157-7 (52.9%)
127-121-5 (51.2%)
49-36-2 (57.5%)
Antonio Pierce
7-2-1 (75%)
4-0-0 (100%)
3-2-1 (58.3%)
Jim Harbaugh
39-24-2 (61.5%)
31-20-0 (60.8%)
8-4-2 (66.7%)
Mike McDaniel
18-17-0 (51.4%)
13-9-0 (59.1%)
5-8-0 (38.5%)
Jerod Mayo
1-0-0 (100%)
0-0-0 (0%)
1-0-0 (100%)
Robert Saleh
21-30-1 (41.3%)
3-4-1 (43.8%)
18-26-0 (40.9%)
Mike Tomlin
144-127-5 (53.2%)
86-96-2 (47.3%)
58-31-3 (64.7%)
Brian Callahan
0-1-0 (0%)
0-0-0 (0%)
0-1-0 (0%)

Caleb Williams was the 19th quarterback since the merger to go No. 1 overall and start in Week 1 of his draft year. Those quarterbacks are now 4-14-1 SU and 6-13 ATS in Week 1. Overall, No. 1 picks to start at QB are 5-22-1 SU and 8-20 ATS in the first start of their careers. The last No. 1 pick to win his first start before last Sunday was David Carr in 2002. No. 1 picks are now 1-14-1 SU and 2-14 ATS since 2003.
Williams' 1st start didn't go so well. In fact, 11 QBs have had 25+ pass attempts and fewer than 100 pass yds in their first career start. Here is the group to do it since 2000: Williams, Tommy DeVito, Desmond Ridder and Brett Hundley.
How did those 27 QBs perform in their second start?
• 5-22 SU, 10-16-1 ATS
• 3-7 SU, 7-3 ATS since 2010
• 4-11 SU, 7-8 ATS since 2003