$38,220 Gold? The Upcoming Gold & Silver Breakout Will Shatter All Expectations - Luke Gromen
Gold has effectively regained its status as the true reserve currency, exposing the futility of American complaints regarding Chinese mercantilism. These grievances represent two sides of the same coin: if the United States wants to end mercantilist practices, it must set its currency at an appropriate price. Currently, the dollar is significantly overvalued relative to the nation’s tangible output, creating a structural imbalance that marks the end of the globalist era. To restore equilibrium and balance Chinese trade dominance, gold may need to reprice dramatically, moving from its current level of $5,000 to a theoretical target of $38,220.
Luke Gromen, a macroeconomic analyst and founder of FFTT, LLC, argues that this repricing is the only mathematical solution to the current trade paradox.
He suggests that the disconnect between financial valuations and real-world utility is unsustainable. As the global economy fragments, the dollar must devalue against hard assets to reflect economic reality and neutralize the advantages of foreign manufacturing powers.
The global economic landscape is shifting towards a necessary devaluation of the US dollar to restore American industrial competitiveness. By revaluing gold to balance massive trade surpluses—potentially reaching theoretical levels upwards of $38,000—the US can neutralize foreign mercantilism and rebuild its defense industrial base. Historical data support this transition, as gold has already outperformed the S&P 500 total return across nearly every major timeframe over the last quarter-century. A critical vulnerability remains within the US Treasury market, where leveraged basis trades by offshore hedge funds create systemic fragility. During periods of high volatility, these entities are forced to liquidate Treasuries to de-gross, causing yields to spike paradoxically during crises. This structural dynamic requires central banks to repeatedly intervene by injecting liquidity to preserve the collateral that underpins the financial system.
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Credits: Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money®
Luke Gromen: "All Roads Lead To Gold"
• Luke Gromen: "All Roads Lead To Gold"
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