P(doom) Projections, Creative Compensation, and the Deepfake Dilemma: The AI Argument EP22

OpenAI’s recent silence is starting to feel like the “Fly Episode” from Breaking Bad—a whole lot of waiting with nothing to show for it. No updates, no hype, just a lull that’s leaving Justin and Frank wondering what’s next…

Meanwhile, there’s a calculator making the rounds that estimates the odds of AI wiping out humanity—yes, really. Justin’s score is low, Frank’s is alarmingly higher. It’s a sobering, yet strangely fun way to think about the risks of AI.

The conversation then shifts to Google DeepMind’s idea of compensating creatives for AI-generated content. It sounds fair on paper—paying artists based on how closely an AI’s output matches their style—but Justin and Frank discuss whether it reduces creatives to mere data points, and whether this solution can really be enforced in a world of open-source AI models.

Finally, in a move straight out of a sci-fi thriller, AI-controlled fighter jets are now a reality. Shield AI’s autonomous jets recently flew side by side with human pilots, executing complex manoeuvres with terrifying precision. It’s a glimpse into the future of warfare, and it raises the question: who decides who the bad guys are when machines are in control?

→ OpenAI’s silence compared to Breaking Bad’s uneventful “Fly Episode”
→ P(doom) scores estimating the likelihood of AI causing human extinction
→ Google DeepMind’s proposal for compensating creatives using AI-generated content
→ AI-controlled fighter jets and the ethical concerns they raise

There’s no denying that AI is advancing rapidly, pushing boundaries and creating new ethical dilemmas. As the technology evolves, so do the questions about its impact on everything from art to warfare.

► LINKS TO CONTENT WE DISCUSSED

Calculate your p(doom) here
https://www.daveshap.io/

AI: Your New Creative Muse? with Douglas Eck
   • AI: Your New Creative Muse? with Doug...  

Disturbing viral video: Elon Musk’s AI Grok turns him, Donald Trump into gun wielding robbers
https://www.hindustantimes.com/trendi...

Ideogram's 2.0 image generator seems to outperform Midjourney and DALL-E
https://the-decoder.com/ideograms-2-0...

Shield AI’s Hivemind Demonstrates Collaborative Autonomy In Firejet Drones Flight Test
https://www.twz.com/sponsored-content...

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► CHAPTERS
00:21 Are OpenAI having a Breaking Bad Fly Episode moment?
01:53 What's your David Shapiro p(doom) number?
10:18 Did Google move slowly with AI releases due to societal concerns?
14:33 Does DeepMind's Douglas Eck have a solution for compensating creatives in an AI world?
21:31 Should platforms suppress AI generated deepfakes?
24:30 Do creatives have an advantage when generating AI Images with tools like Ideogram V2?
27:53 With fully automated AI war machines, who gets to decide who the bad guys are?

► YOUR INPUT
What’s your take on Douglas Eck’s idea for compensating creatives? Do you think it’s viable, or does it miss the mark?