Climate Change Projections for New Zealand

What are Climate Projections?
Climate projections are modelled representations of the potential future climate over the next several decades, using climate scenarios developed by the IPCC.

Projections are not predictions or forecast. They show a range of possibilities, based on the best available science and data, to give us an indication of what we might expect in the future.

Climate change projections consider different scenarios, such as varying levels of greenhouse gas emissions. They help scientists, policymakers, and communities understand potential future climate conditions and plan accordingly to mitigate or adapt to the expected changes.

Updated climate projections for Aotearoa New Zealand, produced by NIWA in 2024, will support our transition to a low-emissions, climate-resilient economy.

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