Скачать или смотреть MAGA Support Fractures? │ 4 Poll‑Backed Cracks in Trump’s 2025 Base

Welcome to JTF - Political Compass – the show that follows the data to reveal the real story.

In just over five minutes we dissect four numbers that signal a cooling of MAGA enthusiasm for President Trump: rising inflation pain, a GOP shift on immigration, backlash over Ukraine aid, and fury at sealed Epstein files.

Chapters
0:00  Intro – is the base still rock‑solid?
0:30  Wallet pain: 2.7 % inflation & tariffs raising prices 2‑3 %  
Inflation Calculator
The Budget Lab at Yale

1:25  49 % say Trump policies hurt more than help  
AP News

1:55  Immigration pivot: 79 % of Americans (59 % of Republicans) call immigration good; support for citizenship path surges  
Gallup.com

2:45  Up to 1‑in‑5 Republicans now oppose his deportation push  
Gallup.com

3:05  Foreign‑policy rift: $300 M Ukraine package clashes with “America First” promise  
Politico

3:40  Epstein files: campaign vow to release; admin now claims no “client list,” sparking backlash  
ABC News

4:15  Strategy talk – inflation fight, trust repair, policy realignment
4:55  Viewer Q ➜ Are these cracks temporary or permanent?

Key sources
– U.S. CPI data June 2025 shows 2.7 % annual inflation. 
Inflation Calculator

– Yale Budget Lab finds 2025 tariffs add 1.8‑2.3 % to prices, hitting apparel hardest. 
The Budget Lab at Yale

– AP‑NORC poll: 49 % say Trump’s policies hurt them. 
AP News

– Gallup poll: 79 % view immigration as good; GOP path‑to‑citizenship support 59 %. 
Gallup.com

– POLITICO: White House signs off on $300 M Ukraine aid July 2025. 
Politico

– ABC News roundup of Trump statements & DOJ stance on Epstein files. 
ABC News

– Tax Foundation & Budget Lab analyses link tariffs to higher consumer costs. 
Tax Foundation
The Budget Lab at Yale

AI‑assisted synopsis reviewed by a human editor.

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