Monday 10 AM Tropical Update: Storm models point to Florida landfall

A developing storm will enter the Gulf of Mexico this week and likely head toward Florida. As of Monday morning the tropical disturbance was in the formative stages in the northwest Caribbean.

It will continue to organize as it approaches the Yucatan Channel in the coming days. By Wednesday, it looks like we will have a named storm and perhaps a hurricane in the southern Gulf of Mexico.

The steering currents will begin to change Wednesday as an upper trough over the deep south pulls the system north and slightly northeast towards Florida. This setup will allow the storm to grow stronger and it very well could be a major hurricane as it nears landfall Thursday.

Overall, the concern level for Louisiana is decreasing, but we'll keep an eye on the system as it enters the Gulf by late Tuesday into Wednesday.