Скачать или смотреть AI Momentum vs Late-Cycle Risks – Risk Sentiment Daily 2025-12-29

Today’s daily market update looks at how equities, multi-asset investing and cross-asset signals are shaping risk sentiment. We focus on the balance between AI-driven growth, earnings strength, and a powerful liquidity backdrop on one side, and mounting concerns around valuations, policy uncertainty, and consumer softness on the other.

For portfolio management and asset allocation decisions, understanding whether the current environment is still risk-on or already transitioning toward a late-cycle, higher-volatility regime is critical. We unpack the main bullish and bearish forces across equities, credit, commodities and crypto so you can better frame scenarios and potential outcomes.

Key takeaways:
AI and earnings-led growth remain central to a constructive equity outlook into 2026.
Monetary easing expectations, liquidity, and disinflation trends are still powerful supports for risk assets.
Market leadership is gradually broadening beyond mega-cap tech into banks, healthcare, industrials and select cyclicals.
Elevated valuations and concentration risk leave equities and precious metals vulnerable to corrections.
Policy, inflation, and election uncertainty could reprice rates, volatility and sectors tied to trade and regulation.
Consumer and labor market strain highlight downside risk to a purely consumption-driven growth story.

This video is for information only and is not investment advice.

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Chapters:
00:00 Today’s risk sentiment and key risk drivers
00:27 Overall risk sentiment: cautiously risk-on
02:07 AI and earnings-led growth momentum
04:09 Monetary easing, liquidity, and disinflation tailwinds
05:54 Broadening equity leadership beyond mega-cap tech
07:44 Elevated valuations and correction risk
09:42 Policy, inflation, and election uncertainty
11:31 Consumer and labor market strain
13:20 Key Takeaways