Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) stock price prediction and analysis for Dec 25, 2025.
This TSM stock technical analysis video covers trend structure, targets, and key levels for 2025.
The current setup leans bullish, with buyers defending key levels and upside targets in play.
Latest close: 298.8000 USD (+0.62%).
⏱ Video chapters / timestamps:
0:00 Intro – context & what we cover today
0:43 Trend – 1Y structure & direction
1:54 Momentum – RSI, MACD & volume
2:08 Support & resistance – key price zones
2:53 Conclusion – roadmap & risk levels
4:17 News – latest headlines & catalysts
📐 Detected chart pattern: Symmetrical Triangle.
📌 Overview for TSM:
Taiwan Semiconductor holds a clean bullish EMA stack — dips keep getting bought.
Right now, Taiwan Semiconductor stock is near 298.80 USD, up about 0.6% today.
Upside potential is about 19.1% toward mid-term $314 → long-term $356.
Downside risk is about 7.9% — support near $295, invalidation below $275.
Key trigger is a daily close above...
📈 Trend summary:
Price is above EMA9, EMA50, and EMA200 — bullish alignment across short, medium, and long term. Open gap: $254.73–$257.75; a fill implies ~14.7% downside. A Symmetrical Triangle breakout from around $291.51 suggests a move toward $340.83. A falling short term regression channel caps price near $301.74. Below it, sellers control; a close above is the first warning. Mid-term resistance: $313.98. Measured move points to a long-term objective near $355.92. Long-term roadmap is building: 3/4 confirmed (downtrend break, EMA50 reclaimed); pending: prior high cleared, volume above 120 percent of the 20 day average. Typical window: 19–35 sessions (~5.4 weeks). Invalidation: $275.08 on a daily close...
💥 Momentum & indicators (RSI, MACD, volume):
Momentum is building. Both MACD and RSI are confirming the current strength. In a similar MACD cycle between April 15 and May 30, the price saw a increase of around 22.9 percent.
🛑 Key support & resistance:
From a long term perspective, Price remains inside the broader trend channel on the longer term view. Zooming into the latest short term trading channel, Price has broken above the short term channel, signaling firm bullish momentum. If this breakout can hold, a reasonable upside projection sits near $313.6. Adding a Fibonacci roadmap on top of this structure, the price is trading above the 38 percent (~295.96) Fibonacci retracement level, with the 23 percent retracement near ~302.85 below, and the 50 percent level around ~290.40 above.
✅ Final conclusion:
Overall bias for Taiwan Semiconductor is bullish. Price is above the medium term moving averages, which defines the broader trend. Key trigger: a daily close above $314. A daily close above $314 with MACD confirmation would argue for a continuation type setup. Invalidation sits near $275 on a sustained break below. Momentum adds context to that...
📰 Latest news & headlines for TSM:
Top news for Taiwan Semiconductor. News 1: Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE: TSM) Price Prediction and Forecast (Jan 2025) — via 24/7 Wall St., on 2025-12-25 13:22 UTC. Those are the key headlines.
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📌 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.
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