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🔍 RISK-OFF TRIGGERED — IS THIS BITCOIN’S FINAL FLUSH?
Welcome back to Durden’s Macro War Room, where we dissect the battlefield of global liquidity, central banks, and Bitcoin price action — all in one mission-critical weekly debrief.

This week, the data screams risk-off. The dollar surged, leverage got wiped, and the market is staring down a brutal liquidity contraction. Yet under the surface — the first green Sharpe Ratio signal in years just flashed. Is this capitulation… or the setup for Bitcoin’s next vertical leg?

⚠️ In this episode, you’ll learn:
✅ Why Bitcoin’s macro regime just flipped risk-off — and what it means
✅ How the SOFR-Fed Funds spread is signaling hidden credit stress
✅ Why a Fed pivot or liquidity break could come sooner than markets think
✅ Where leverage liquidation maps point to potential Bitcoin floors
✅ Durden’s personal system update & tactical outlook for next week

📊 FULL BREAKDOWN:
00:00 - Intro (Overview)
00:34 - Live
02:22 - Bitcoin Macro & Liquidity Chart
03:18 - Short Term Price Analysis
04:07 - Business Cycle Composite Chart
04:56 - This Week’s Data Breakdown
06:03 - Fedwatch Projected Rate Cuts
07:06 - Weekly Notes & Important Updates
09:29 - Bitcoin Macro Investing System (Risk On/Risk Off)
11:55 - On-Chain Chart Analysis
13:00 - Liquidity Heatmaps
13:46 - Further On-Chain Analysis
14:42 - Interesting Tweets & News
17:38 - Outro

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💬 Question of the week:
Did the Fed just set up Bitcoin’s next leg higher — or is this still the pain trade? Drop your take below 👇

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🚨 DISCLAIMER:
For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research, manage risk, and remember: the real market mover is always liquidity.

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