Silver just delivered a sharp sell-off, leaving traders asking the big question: Is the silver bull market over—or is this a classic shakeout before the next leg higher? In this deep-dive, Bharat Jhunjhunwala uses multi-timeframe price action + RSI to build a clear, rules-based plan: Buy, Sell, or Hold. You’ll see how to read weekly trend structure, daily momentum, and intraday triggers to avoid panic and trade with confidence.
What we cover inside:
Top-down map: Weekly swing structure, key support/resistance, trendlines, supply/demand, and prior breakout retests.
RSI playbook: Range shifts, RSI 50 zone control, classic/hidden divergence, momentum failure swings, and what they signal after a crash.
Price action tells: Break of structure, lower-high traps, liquidity sweeps, rejection wicks, inside bars/engulfing bars at key levels.
Volatility & volume: How expansion after a squeeze confirms thrusts; when contraction warns of pause or reversal.
Buy/Sell/Hold logic:
BUY (countertrend to trend-resume): Weekly support holds, daily RSI reclaims 40→50→55, higher-low forms, and a bullish candle closes above the last LH.
SELL/SHORT (trend-follow): Daily lower-high under a declining MA, RSI stays sub-50, breakdown retest fails; use structure highs for risk.
HOLD/WAIT: Choppy range with mixed RSI; let levels break and retest—no bias without confirmation.
Entry triggers: Multi-TF confluence (Weekly level → Daily signal → 1H/15M trigger), break-retest continuation, or reversal through a reclaim of the last supply pivot.
Stops & targets: Place stops beyond structure (not candle tails), target prior swing levels/FVG fills; scale out 1R/2R and trail below higher lows or MA slope.
Risk management: Position size by volatility (ATR), avoid over-leveraging on commodities; one A+ setup beats three average trades.
Intermarket context: Dollar strength, rate expectations, risk-on/off tone can pressure precious metals—use them as context, not signals.
Why this works now:
Multi-timeframe alignment filters noise.
RSI range + divergence clarifies momentum health after a crash.
Structure-first price action prevents emotional decisions and late entries.
🔔 Action steps
Mark weekly/daily levels.
Wait for RSI reclaim or rejection at 50 on the daily.
Trigger on 1H/15M with clean structure and defined risk.
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