Скачать или смотреть Scientists say global warming accelerating beyond worst predictions, sots

(12 Mar 2009)
1. Various exteriors of conference venue
2. Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen enters venue
3. SOUNDBITE: (English) Anders Fogh Rasmussen, Danish Prime Minister
"Well, I think there's a fair chance to reach a global agreement. It will be a tough challenge but with a good political will and strong determination I think we will succeed.
4. Wide of closing session of conference
5. Rasmussen, Nicholas Stern, Climate change economist and others addressing closing session
6. SOUNDBITE: (English) Nicholas Stern, Climate change economist
"The key message is that the dangers are even bigger than we thought from climate change. If we do not manage climate change by reducing our our emissions, we risk sometime around the end of this century or the beginning of next, temperatures increases of five degrees centigrade and more."
7. High shot of scientists preparing to leave conference
8. Various delegates preparing to leave conference
9. Greenpeace campaigner Stephanie Tunmore with colleague
10. SOUNDBITE: (English) Stephanie Tunmore, Greenpeace campaigner
"The climate change is happening a lot faster than we thought. It's worse than we thought. More people will be affected. We're more at risk. This is a really important year for governments, for world leaders. They'll be negotiating a new deal to try to fix the problem. We want them to listen to what the scientists have said seriously and act decisively."
11. High shot of delegates leaving conference hall
STORYLINE:
Hundreds of leading scientists warned on Thursday that global warming is accelerating beyond the worst predictions and threatening to trigger irreversible climate shifts on the planet.
Saying there's no excuse for inaction, the nearly 2,000 climate researchers meeting in the Danish capital Copenhagen urged policy-makers to "vigorously" implement the economic and technological tools available to cut emissions of heat-trapping greenhouse gases.
Their stark message came at the end of a three-day conference aimed at updating the findings of a 2007 report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change before UN talks in December on a new global climate treaty.
"The worst-case IPCC scenario trajectories (or even worse) are being realised," the scientists said in a statement. "There is a significant risk that many of the trends will accelerate, leading to an increasing risk of abrupt or irreversible climatic shifts."
The climate change panel predicted a sea level rise of seven to 23 inches (18 to 59 centimetres) by the end of the century, which could flood low-lying areas and force millions to flee.
But more recent research presented at the conference suggested that melting glaciers and ice sheets could help push the sea level up at least 20 inches (50 centimetres), and possibly as much as 39 inches (one metre).
"Recent observations show that societies are highly vulnerable to even modest levels of climate change with poor nations and communities particularly at risk," the statement said.
The conclusions of the congress will be presented to politicians when they meet in Copenhagen in December to discuss a new global agreement on greenhouse gas emissions to replace the Kyoto Protocol, which expires in 2012.
"We know from scientific evidence that climate change is a reality and that climate change will have damaging effects on the economy all over the world," said Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen, one of the politicians attending the scientific conference. "Therefore we need an agreement and we need an agreement this year."

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