Скачать или смотреть Geopolitical risks 2025: No 8: Emerging Markets Political Crisis- What drives political crisis?

Geopolitical risks 2025: No 8: Emerging Markets Political Crisis

Emerging market (EM) economies face opportunities and risks amid central bank rate cuts and resilient developed market growth, but political crises and global fragmentation present significant challenges. While some countries may benefit from supply chain diversification, others, like Argentina, remain vulnerable due to short-term debt pressures. Upcoming EM elections and the 2024 U.S. election could drive further uncertainty, especially with potential tariff hikes under a second Trump administration. Coupled with China’s economic slowdown, a lack of international cooperation on debt relief, and a record number of global conflicts, political crises are reshaping the outlook for EM economies.

Risk Level: Medium ⚠️📈

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