Скачать или смотреть Decoding Africa's coups: The decline of french influence and the rise of new alliances

Decoding Africa's coups: the decline of french influence and the rise of new alliances

The African continent is undergoing significant geopolitical shifts. French President Emmanuel Macron's decision to withdraw military forces from Niger, following a hostage crisis, marks a pivotal change in France's longstanding African policy. This move comes amidst rising tensions between France and Niger, and similar political upheavals in Mali and Burkina Faso.

Historically, France's imperialistic endeavors in Africa aimed at monopolizing trade and production. Even post-independence, the CFA franc, a currency introduced by France, remains in use in six Central African states. However, there's a growing sentiment among these nations to break free from French economic control and establish their own currency block.

China's increasing economic involvement in Africa offers an alternative to traditional Western alliances. China's focus on resource acquisition aligns with Africa's rich natural reserves, leading to significant investments in key sectors. This shift is viewed with apprehension by the West, especially the U.S., which emphasizes democratic governance.

Russia, with its private military group, the Wagner Group, is also making inroads in Africa, providing military support in exchange for strategic benefits.

Two potential narratives emerge:

Rising Russian Influence: As France reduces its military presence, Russia's influence, particularly through the Wagner Group, is expanding. This shift is causing concerns in the West, especially given Russia's disinformation campaigns against France.

French-Sponsored Counter Coups: Despite the anti-French sentiment in Niger and other African nations, France's historical ties and military collaborations, especially against jihadist threats, cannot be overlooked. Rumors of potential French military interventions in collaboration with ECOWAS persist, though Macron emphasizes that any action would align with the wishes of Niger's deposed leader.

In this evolving geopolitical landscape, Africa stands at a crossroads, reassessing its ties with traditional allies like France and exploring new partnerships with global powers like China and Russia."