Скачать или смотреть 200PM Water Cooler 1182023 naked capitalism

2:00PM Water Cooler 11/8/2023 | naked capitalism
Common Nightingale (golzii), Ile River Delta-Zheltorangy Poplars; Almaty, Kazakhstan.

"So many of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in fact a rational management of symbolic capital." -Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

Time for the Countdown Clock!

"Republican debate tonight: Trump skips third presidential face-off in Miami with DeSantis and Haley set for showdown" [Daily Mail]. "Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley are set for a showdown at the third Republican presidential primary debate on Wednesday night in Miami. They are both hoping to end the night as the main challenger to Donald Trump, who is leading by 40 points in some polls in the race to be the GOP nominee in 2024. DeSantis is trying to kickstart his campaign on a stage in his home state while former South Carolina governor Haley has seen a surge in the polls, elevating her to second place in key states. The former South Carolina governor is expected to go after DeSantis on everything from his policy on fracking to whether he wears lifts in his shoes to make himself look taller. DeSantis, meanwhile, is looking to build momentum after Governor Kim Reynolds endorsed him in the crucial primary state of Iowa. Vivek Ramaswamy, South Carolina Senator Tim Scott and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie will join them on stage in a narrower field of just five candidates. Again, Trump has opted to skip the debate and hold his own rally just 30 minutes down the road. But will the Republican rivals be able to avoid his shadow with two months until the first primary?

"The Third Republican Debate Could Be Brutal" [Ed Kilgore, New York Magazine]. "So this is a group of candidates with little or nothing to lose, each of them desperately trying to become the one that challenges the front-runner. With Trump absent once again, it's a recipe for intramural carnage."

"I Don't Believe This Weekend's Scary Poll Numbers" [Charles Pierce, Esquire]. On the New York Times poll: "Quite simply, I don't believe a single one of those numbers. [Black voters registering 22 percent support in these states for Mr. Trump] is the last one, although I think that sentence about the male-female split is very mushy, Dobbs being still alive and well as an issue, and with a theocratic fetus-fondler running the House of Representatives, it is likely to stay that way. I do not believe that the former president* will get 22 percent of the Black vote. I'd sooner believe he'd get 22 percent of the votes from pixies, elves, and the Tuatha de Denaan... There's never been an election more clouded by the unknown than this one is. There are all kinds of vague shadows dancing in the mist. You can't jump at every one of them." * Fair enough!s

"5 takeaways from new polls that reveal Biden's challenges and Trump's potential victory path" [CNN]. "The topline of a new CNN/SSRS survey of registered voters published Tuesday shows ex-President Donald Trump leading Biden 49% to 45%, which is bad enough for the president. But a deep dive into the data reveals alarming challenges for Biden and bolsters the impression that despite the mayhem and mismanagement of Trump's first term, the GOP front-runner has a strong chance at a second. The new poll reveals deep public discontent with Biden's job performance at a time when his economic optimism is failing to connect with a disgruntled nation weary of high prices. The survey exposes cracks in Biden's multiethnic Democratic coalition and a lack of confidence in his leadership in a war-torn world. Most damagingly, the data show that just a quarter of Americans believe he has the stamina and sharpness to serve as president. This survey follows New York Times/Siena College polling over the weekend that show significant leads for Trump in most of the swing states likely to decide the 2024 election. That triggered another round of agonizing among Democrats over whether Biden should have passed on a run for a second term - even if no realistic challenger for the nomination has emerged in a new generation of the party."

"Glenn Youngkin STUNNED in Virginia as Democrats flip House and retain Senate control: Republican touted as White House candidate suffers crushing blow on home turf - as abortion rights take center stage at ballot box" [Daily Mail]. "While Republican donors have been urging Youngkin to make a late entry into the 2024 presidential race, the first-term governor said he had to gain control of the General Assembly first - vowing to push through a 15-week abortion ban. Virginia's voters rejected that, with Democrats estimated to win at least 21 state Senate seats, retaining their majority, and 51 seats in the House of Delegates, gaining control from Republicans... It's unlikely Youngkin will join the race now, as he doesn't have wins at his back. He also missed the filing deadline to appear on the New Hampshire primary ballot and wouldn't have appeared in three GOP debates."