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According to South Korean intelligence, special forces from the DPRK are currently helping Russians in the Kursk region to recapture their own territories from the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
The North Koreans have been trained to infiltrate via sea and river routes and to fight in the hilly terrain of their homeland, The New York Times reports. That makes it unclear how well prepared they are for a war of attrition waged in trenches and fields with artillery and drones .
South Korean officials are closely monitoring how their northern neighbor is behaving in the battle against Ukraine. It turns out that many of the DPRK's artillery shells are faulty, having been manufactured decades ago.
North Korea has sent so many weapons and ammunition to Russia that it could not attack South Korea even if it wanted to, according to Doo Jin-ho, a senior analyst at the Korea Institute for Defense Analysis in Seoul. He believes that this is the biggest vulnerability of the country's leader, Kim Jong-un.
At the same time, some South Korean analysts doubt that cooperation between Pyongyang and Moscow will last long. According to a report by researchers at the Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, Russia accounts for less than 2% of North Korea's international trade, excluding arms, while China accounts for more than 90%.
However, even this massive bilateral trade has slowed in the first nine months of this year, from $1.6 billion to $1.5 billion compared to the same period in 2023.
"It could signal another gamble by Mr. Kim. North Korea has long sought to play Beijing against Moscow, but some analysts say North Korea's deepening military ties with Russia could hurt its relations with China," the New York Times writes.
North Korea received the money and diplomatic leverage it needed by sending troops to fight against Ukraine. The DPRK sent about 11,000 troops to Russia, according to The New York Times.
According to the agency, sending troops brings North Korea various benefits, including much-needed money and diplomatic leverage. Kim Jong Un receives food, oil, cash, and modern weapons systems worth billions of dollars from Russia. This is likely to allow his regime to withstand international sanctions and modernize its conventional armed forces.
In June, Kim Jong Un and Vladimir Putin signed a mutual defense and cooperation agreement in Pyongyang. After that, North Korea began sending troops to Russia. According to the NYT, North Korea has provided Russia with weapons in 20,000 shipping containers. These include millions of artillery shells, newly developed ballistic missiles, multiple-launch rocket systems, and long-range howitzers.
North Korea may have earned up to $5.5 billion from arms deals with Russia. The DPRK can also receive up to $572 million annually through the deployment of troops. At the same time, the country's official exports amounted to $330 million last year alone.
However, neither Russia nor North Korea has disclosed how Moscow paid the DPRK.
Moreover, satellite imagery revealed that North Korean oil tankers are transporting far more oil from Russia than permitted under UN sanctions.
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