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Iraqi Dinar UPDATE Today January 12 2026 | 4th Consecutive Day of Stability at 1,467 | Weekend Consolidation Continues

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📊 IQD WEEKEND UPDATE (January 12, 2026):
✅ 4 CONSECUTIVE DAYS of stability (Thursday-Sunday)
✅ Baghdad rate: 1,467.5 IQD per USD (UNCHANGED)
✅ Erbil: 1,457-1,458 IQD (STRONGER)
✅ Official CBI: 1,310 IQD (UNCHANGED since Feb 2023)
✅ Weekend trading = reduced activity (normal)
✅ MONDAY will test if stability continues
💱 CURRENT EXCHANGE RATES (Sunday Jan 12):

Baghdad: 1,467.5 IQD/USD (last verified Thursday)
Erbil Kurdistan: 1,457-1,458 IQD
Official CBI: 1,310 IQD/USD
Spread: ~12% (structural equilibrium)
Status: CONSOLIDATION PHASE - Day 4

📊 THE 4-DAY STABILITY STORY:

Thursday Jan 8: Drop to 1,467.5 (reversed from spike)
Friday Jan 10: NO changes
Saturday Jan 11: NO changes
Sunday Jan 12: NO changes
Total: 4 consecutive stable days

🏦 WHAT 4 DAYS OF CALM MEANS:
ASYCUDA ADAPTATION SUCCESS:
✅ Customs processing improved OR workarounds found
✅ Traders adapted to new system
✅ Bottleneck pressure eased
✅ "Brief instability" prediction proven correct
CENTRAL BANK COMFORTABLE:
✅ NO intervention announcements
✅ NO emergency dollar auctions
✅ NO regulatory crackdowns
✅ Silence = acceptance of 1,467 level
✅ 12% spread tolerable to authorities
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM FOUND:
✅ Importers accessing dollars at predictable rates
✅ Exporters know what to expect
✅ Money changers maintaining normal spreads
✅ Post-ASYCUDA balance achieved
📈 IRAQ ECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS:
STRENGTHS:
✅ Foreign Reserves: $104 billion
✅ Oil Production: 4.6 million barrels/day
✅ Brent Crude: Mid-$70s ($320-340M daily revenue)
✅ No banking crisis or capital flight
✅ CBI commitment to stability
CHALLENGES:
❌ Budget Deficit: 8.13 trillion IQD
❌ 60%+ budget = salaries/pensions
❌ Limited diversification
❌ Oil dependency extreme
❌ Investment spending reduced
🔍 WEEKEND TRADING DYNAMICS:

Friday: Islamic day of rest (reduced hours)
Saturday: Partial reopening
Sunday: Transition before Monday full trading
Lower volumes = less price discovery
Institutional players offline
Real test comes Monday

⚠️ REVALUATION REALITY CHECK:
WEEKEND MYTH vs REALITY:
MYTH: Iraq will revalue dinar to near-parity with dollar
REALITY: Economically IMPOSSIBLE without catastrophe
Why massive revaluation = economic suicide:
❌ Iraqi goods 100x more expensive
❌ Export competitiveness destroyed
❌ Mass unemployment outside oil sector
❌ Banking system collapse
❌ No country has ever succeeded at this
CBI POSITION (Clear & Repeated):

NO plans for major revaluation
Focus: Managing current system
Goal: Stability at ~1,300 official rate
Manage parallel spread through interventions

🎯 MONDAY WATCH LIST:
✓ Al-Kifah/Al-Harithiya opening rates
✓ Trading volumes (confidence indicator)
✓ Any weekend CBI communications
✓ Weekend oil price movements
✓ Does 1,467 hold when full trading resumes?
📅 NEXT UPDATE: January 13, 2026 (MONDAY - Full Trading Resumes)

💬 COMMENT: Will 1,467 hold when markets reopen Monday?
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Factual news only, NOT financial advice. Iraqi Dinar information based on verified sources through January 12, 2026. We do not promote revaluation speculation. Always consult a financial advisor.

🌐 SOURCES: Iraqi News, Shafaq News, Trading Economics, Central Bank of Iraq, Al-Kifah Exchange, Al-Harithiya Exchange

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