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Vietnamese Dong (VND) & Iraqi Dinar (IQD) Joint Currency Update - February 9, 2026

BOTH currencies are UP year-to-date! The Vietnamese dong has strengthened to +1.34% YTD while the Iraqi dinar holds at +0.37% YTD. This Sunday joint update covers both currencies' performance, contrasting economic models, and what's driving these counterintuitive trends.

📊 WHAT'S COVERED IN THIS JOINT UPDATE:
Vietnamese Dong: +1.34% YTD (strengthening continues)
Iraqi Dinar: +0.37% YTD (exceptional stability maintained)
Vietnam's growth vs Iraq's stability model compared
VND trade deficit concerns vs strong exports
IQD parallel market normalization after January spike
Banking reforms in Iraq (5 banks sanctioned)
Vietnam's inflation advantage explained
Iraq's equity market resilience
What these trends mean for both currencies

💱 VIETNAMESE DONG DATA (Feb 9, 2026):
Market Rate: ~25,950 VND/USD
YTD Performance: UP +1.34% (improved from +1.32%)
12-Month: DOWN -2.61% (but reversing in 2026)
Export Growth 2025: Nearly 17%
FDI January 2026: UP 11.3%
Trade Deficit January: Largest in nearly 4 years
Manufacturing PMI: 4-month low
Inflation: 2.5-year lows (major advantage)
Credit Growth 2025: Over 19%
2026 GDP Target: 10%

💱 IRAQI DINAR DATA (Feb 9, 2026):
Market Rate: 1,306.19 IQD/USD
Official Rate: 1,300 IQD/USD
YTD Performance: UP +0.37%
12-Month: DOWN only -0.11% (exceptional)
Parallel Market: Spiked late January, now normalized
Forex Reserves: ~$100 billion (held by Fed)
Banking Sanctions: 5 additional banks (last week)
Equity Market January: DOWN only -0.9% (resilient)
Oil Backing: Continues strong

🔄 CONTRASTING MODELS:
Vietnam Approach:
Aggressive 10% GDP growth target
Export-driven strength (17% growth)
FDI magnet (+11.3% Jan)
Credit expansion (19%+)
Rising interest rate pressures
Risk: Potential overheating

Iraq Approach:
Stability through massive reserves ($100B)
Oil revenue dependence (OPEC producer)
US coordination backing
Banking sector transformation
Parallel market formalization
Risk: External dependency

📈 KEY INSIGHTS:
AFC Iraq Fund: Parallel market delta spiked late January (US-Iran tensions), but subsided
Iraq's formalization trend continues despite temporary pressures
Vietnam's inflation at 2.5-year lows provides policy flexibility
MUFG: Possible Vietnam rate hike 25 bps H2 2026
Iraq equity market resilient despite regional conflicts
Both currencies defy typical EM depreciation trends

🏦 SOURCES USED:
Market exchange rate data (Feb 8-9, 2026)
State Bank of Vietnam official data
Central Bank of Iraq statements
AFC Iraq Fund Chief Strategist Ahmed Tabaqchali analysis
Vietnamese export, FDI, tourism data (Jan 2026)
Iraqi banking sector reports
MUFG Research forecasts
Manufacturing PMI data
Rabee Securities U.S. Dollar Equity Index

⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a Sunday news update and comparative economic analysis only. Not financial advice. No predictions or investment recommendations. Always consult qualified financial professionals before making any currency or investment decisions.

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💬 BOTH currencies UP year-to-date—which model do you think is more sustainable? Vietnam's growth-driven approach or Iraq's stability-backed approach? Drop your analysis below!


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