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The upcoming UNFCCC COP 30 in Belém, Brazil, is emerging as one of the most geopolitically charged climate summits in recent years. But this time, the global conversation is being shaped not just by official negotiators inside the COP halls — but also by the return of Donald Trump’s aggressive fossil-fuel centric worldview. Even from outside the COP process, Trump’s stance is influencing global climate alignment: the US is again distancing itself from Paris commitments, fossil fuel lobbies are being energised, Europe’s ambition is weakening, and the global agenda is shifting from “climate responsibility” to “growth, jobs and trade”. China is trying to fill the leadership vacuum, while BRICS — especially India and Brazil — are being pushed into a decisive role. COP 30 is no longer just a climate meeting — it is now a space where climate science, corporate power and geopolitical competition collide.


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