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Stocks pushed higher on November 26, 2025, in a broad “risk-on” rally powered by improving market breadth, strong semiconductor leadership, and a powerful bid in gold miners, silver, copper, energy, and Bitcoin. Volatility collapsed, yields dipped, and traders continued to hedge — creating a classic “wall of worry” backdrop that often fuels further upside.
In this Market Outlook PREVIEW, David Settle from Market Scholars breaks down:
• Why semiconductor leadership (SMH +2.26%) continues to confirm the market’s bullish tone
• What today’s *breadth thrust* signals—with $NYMO, $BPSPX, and % of stocks above 50-DMA all surging
• Why gold, silver, copper, and miners rallied WITH tech (a rare but important intermarket signal)
• How the volatility crush (VIX −7%) contrasts with a rising put/call ratio (CPCE 0.76)
• What small-cap strength says about risk appetite heading into year-end
• How easing yields and a softer dollar supported global equities and hard assets
• The key levels to watch on SPX, SMH, IWM, GLD, and TLT
🧭 *Today’s Market Themes*
• *Breadth Breakout:* $NYMO +44; $BPSPX back above 50; 283 S&P stocks reclaim their 50-day MA
• *Tech & AI Strength:* Semis, AI infrastructure, and server demand drove leadership
• *Hard Asset Rally:* Gold miners +5%, silver +4%, copper +2%, Bitcoin +3.7%
• *Volatility Collapse:* VIX, VIX9D, and VIX3M all fell sharply while hedging demand rose
• *Rates Ease:* TNX −0.10%; TLT, IEF, AGG, LQD all higher; dollar (UUP) down −0.28%
• *Small Caps Participate:* RUT +0.82%; equal-weight RSP keeps pace with SPX
📊 *Educational Takeaways*
• How breadth thrusts signal strengthening momentum
• Why volatility crushes often occur before trend acceleration
• Understanding why tech + hard assets rallying together matters
• How intermarket signals confirm investor confidence (or warn of shifts)
• What retail traders should watch for heading into a holiday-shortened week
• Why improvement in participation—NOT just index levels—defines a healthy bull phase
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