Russia faces growing crisis of military desertion - ISW

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Poor treatment of soldiers by Russian military leadership and an inability to equip them with sufficient weapons are fueling mass desertion in the Russian army, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

The ISW referenced an article by the Russian opposition outlet Vazhnye Istorii, which disclosed details from an internal Russian Defense Ministry document. According to the document, over 1,000 Russian servicemen, including officers, deserted from the 20th Motorized Rifle Division of 8th Combined Arms Army, Southern Military District. As of April 20, 2024, the number of deserters exceeded the personnel of a battalion.

The Vazhnye Istorii noted that the command of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division had appealed to the Defense Ministry for assistance in locating deserters. It also surveyed personnel from the 33rd and 255th Motorized Rifle Regiments of the 20th Brigade. They attributed the high desertion rate to heavy losses, failure to deliver promised payments, and the practice of deploying wounded and ill soldiers in assaults.

“These complaints mirror frequent Russian ultranationalist mil blogger complaints about the Russian MoD's poor treatment of Russian military personnel, and the alleged internal document indicates that the MoD is likely aware of the scale of Russian morale problems,” the ISW experts stated.

Recently, the Russian opposition publication Mobilization News shared footage of soldiers from Russia’s 36th Motorized Rifle Brigade of 29th Air Army, Eastern Military District addressing Defense Minister Andrei Belousov. They complained about being sent into assaults without reconnaissance or artillery support.

Russian soldiers also claimed they had to spend their salaries on personal equipment and fortification materials as military leadership failed to provide adequate supplies. Despite Russian troops' recent territorial gains, the cost of these advances in equipment and manpower has left the Kremlin’s forces struggling to translate tactical victories into operational breakthroughs. Additionally, a growing number of Russian soldiers are now riding into battle on top of armored vehicles, which exposes them to shelling, munition drops, and strikes with FPV drones.

To preserve tanks, Russian forces are reinforcing armor, sometimes at the expense of turret rotation. This effectively limits their role to assault guns used to support the infantry. The situation is expected to worsen unless there is a substantial shipments of armored vehicles from a country like North Korea or China. Reports suggest that by 2026, stocks of tanks and APCs at Russian storage bases will be depleted. Moreover, the pace of restoration and modernization will inevitably decrease due to the poor condition of the remaining equipment.
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