Скачать или смотреть How Innovation REALLY Happens: From the IBM Punch Card to AI

Why did it take 40 years to get from the first digital computer to the home PC? And how did an AI chess program defeat a professor just two years after being dismissed as unable to "even play amateur chess"?

In this captivating keynote, acclaimed futurist Dr. Shawn DuBravac reveals the surprising truth about the real pace of innovation. He argues that while foundational technology often "takes decades to come to fruition," the right conditions can trigger explosive, rapid change that fundamentally alters how we live and work.

Join Dr. DuBravac on a journey through the history of technology to understand the powerful forces that are shaping our future.

In this talk, you will discover:
🔹 The incredible story of how a machine built to solve the 1890 US Census crisis led to the birth of IBM.
🔹 The core principle of innovation: how technology moves from an "expensive scarcity to an inexpensive abundance," enabling us to "waste" it in new ways that change the world (like the selfie).
🔹 The slow-burn innovation behind ubiquitous technologies like home computing, digital storage, and the graphical user interface (GUI).
🔹 How the plummeting cost of sensors in devices like the Nintendo Wii and the original iPhone unlocked the ability to digitize our physical world.
🔹 The three key drivers of our digital destiny: Digitization, Sensorization, and Connection.

If you've ever wondered why some technologies fail while others succeed beyond our wildest dreams, this talk provides the answer. It's a must-watch for entrepreneurs, business leaders, and anyone seeking to understand the building blocks of the future and redefine what's possible.

💬 What analog part of our world do you think will be completely digitized next? Share your predictions in the comments below!

Like this video and subscribe for more insights into technology, business, and the future. To book Dr. Shawn DuBravac for your next event, visit ShawnDuBravac.com.

Timestamps:
00:00 - Introduction: The Future is in This Room
03:06 - The Birth of Big Data: Herman Hollerith & the 1890 Census
04:04 - How a Simple Idea Became IBM
04:40 - The Slow Pace of Innovation: From Digital Computers to Hard Drives
05:45 - The Surprising Story of AI and Chess
06:39 - The Duality of Innovation: Decades to Fruition, Then Sudden Change
07:04 - How McKinsey Underestimated the Smartphone by 99 Million
08:14 - The iPhone, the Nintendo Wii, and the Sensor Revolution
09:38 - From Scarcity to Abundance: How Inexpensive Tech Changes Everything
10:03 - The Xerox Star, Steve Jobs, and the Rise of the GUI
11:34 - The 5 Pillars of Our Digital Destiny
12:29 - The Great Analog Replacement: From CDs to Smartphones
14:04 - Why We No Longer Delete Files: The Abundance of Storage
14:45 - The Exponential Improvement in Voice-to-Text AI
16:00 - The Internet of Me: Connecting and Sensorizing Our World
19:33 - What Happens When We Digitize Everything? (The Smart Onesie)
22:04 - The Feedback Loop: How Digital Data Must Change the Physical World
23:30 - The Future of Interaction: From Punch Cards to Heartbeats
26:30 - A Ripe Time to Be an Innovator
27:30 - The Future of the Automobile (When You Don't Need a Steering Wheel)
30:30 - Where Should the Internet Live Next?
32:20 - How Netflix Uses Data to Redefine Recommendations
33:51 - Conclusion: The Challenge Before Us

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