Discussion between Dr. Sreeram Chaulia, foreign affairs expert, and Dr. Kanica Rakhra, author and Assistant Professor at the Kautilya School of Public Policy. Themes covered include the rationale behind President Donald Trump’s call for the US to resume nuclear weapons testing, the reasons for Russia further developing its nuclear arsenal and threatening to use nuclear weapons in battle, the logic behind China’s fastest growing nuclear arsenal, the dilemma facing India regarding its moratorium on nuclear tests, the collapse of arms control agreements, growing militarisation of conflicts and great power competition, and the unfulfilled ideal of universal disarmament.
The set of questions collectively probes the resurgence of nuclear competition among major powers, examining why the United States under President Donald Trump is considering resuming nuclear testing due to fears of eroding technological and numerical superiority as Russia and China modernise their arsenals, how Russia’s withdrawal from the CTBT and its emphasis on tactical nuclear weapons and new delivery systems reflect a strategy of deterrence, coercion, and reducing perceived asymmetries with the US, and why China is rapidly expanding its nuclear stockpile to secure assured second-strike capability and strategic parity amid intensifying great power rivalry. It also raises India’s dilemma over whether its post-1998 moratorium and reliance on simulations and subcritical tests remain sufficient for credible minimum deterrence in a changing environment, or whether further testing might be needed to keep pace technologically. Finally, the questions highlight the broader global risk that a renewed nuclear arms race, driven by both horizontal and vertical proliferation, could undermine international security, weaken norms against nuclear use, and increase the danger of miscalculation and catastrophic conflict rather than making the world safer.
0:00 - Introduction
1:41 - Why the US May Restart Nuclear Tests After a 30-Year Moratorium
6:20 - What’s Driving Russia’s Nuclear Signaling and Test Moratorium Debate
11:24 - China’s Nuclear Ambitions and the Logic Behind Its Arsenal Buildup
16:14 - Is India’s Arsenal Enough for Credible Minimal Deterrence?
19:40 - Would a New Nuclear Arms Race Make the World Safer or Deadlier?
25:26 - Conclusion
#NuclearWeapons
#Missiles
#NonProliferation
#Disarmament
#Russia
#China
#USA
#India
#NorthKorea
#Pakistan
#Israel
#Iran
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india nuclear policy, credible minimum deterrence, nuclear proliferation risks, disarmament challenges, geopolitics of nukes, us russia china rivalry, tactical nuclear weapons, second strike capability, international security crisis, militarisation of conflicts, global nuclear order, nuclear weapons analysis, foreign policy discussion
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