2024 Election Map Based on Previous POLLING BIAS In Every State

What if the latest polling averages in each of the crucial battleground states in the 2024 presidential election were to shift by a comparable margin to the polling errors we have seen in the last three presidential elections? I’ve gone back and calculated the average polling error across 17 different competitive states between the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections, so that in today’s video we can take a peak at what a potential 2024 electoral college map would look like if the same polling error occurred. Will former Republican President Donald Trump secure enough votes to reach 270 and defeat incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden? Let's find out...

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Election Predictions Official is the fastest-growing non-partisan political channel on YouTube, focused on analyzing and forecasting elections based on socio-demographics, polling data, and voting patterns. My official 2020 Presidential Election Forecast correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of 50 states. My 2022 Senate Forecast accurately projected the winners in 33 of 34 races.

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