Скачать или смотреть John Mearsheimer Understanding Gaza: Continuous Killing, Ethnic Cleansing, Genocide

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Gaza / Israel-Palestine Conflict

After the Hamas October 2023 attacks, Israel invaded Gaza City.

The speaker argues Israel pursued an impossible military solution to a political problem.

Nearly two years later, Israel appears to be doubling down, now demolishing Gaza with bulldozers rather than just tanks, leading to ever-rising civilian casualties.

Israel’s Alleged Strategic Goal

The core objective is not merely defeating Hamas or freeing hostages, but ethnic cleansing:

Making Gaza unlivable.

Forcing Palestinians into the southern enclave.

Eventually expelling them from Gaza entirely.

Problem: Israel cannot find any state willing to absorb 2.2–2.3 million Palestinians.

Until then, Israel continues with policies that make life unlivable, producing mass deaths and destruction.

The same applies to the West Bank—long-term goal is to expel Palestinians and consolidate “Greater Israel.”

Role of Egypt and the Rafah Border

Israel pressures Egypt to open Rafah crossing, blaming Egypt for humanitarian buildup.

Egypt refuses, fearing a destabilizing influx of millions of Palestinians.

Speaker stresses: the crisis is the result of Israeli policy, not Egypt’s refusal.

International & Political Dynamics

Comparison with South African apartheid:

South Africa faced outside pressure that eventually forced change.

Israel, however, benefits from powerful pro-Israel lobbies in Western countries, especially the U.S., which shield it from accountability.

Nonetheless, due to:

Internet exposure of atrocities,

Independent media coverage,

Growing global criticism—
Israel’s reputation is being permanently damaged.

Impact Inside Israel

Domestic consequences:

Israel risks becoming more right-wing, with secular/more moderate Jews leaving.

Rising demographic influence of ultra-Orthodox Jews (projected to be ~30% of the population by 2035), many of whom are hardline and less connected to the West.

Over time, this will deepen Israel’s isolation and worsen its international image.

Western Public Opinion Shift

Especially in the U.S., younger generations (including young Jews) are far more critical of Israel than older ones.

As demographics shift, future U.S. policy may be less supportive of Israel.

Future Scenarios

If Palestinians were expelled from Gaza (hypothetically via Egypt or another country taking them):

Israel would turn its focus to the West Bank, applying similar strategies to remove the ~3 million Palestinians there.

Even without such an opportunity, Israel continues to make West Bank life increasingly unlivable, laying groundwork for future expulsion under the pretext of some future crisis.

✅ Core Message:
Israel’s overriding strategy is seen as ethnic cleansing of Palestinians from both Gaza and the West Bank, making life unlivable until they can be expelled. Western lobbies shield Israel diplomatically, but global opinion and internal demographics are eroding its legitimacy. The long-term trajectory points to deeper isolation, demographic hardening, and reputational damage.