Скачать или смотреть GEORGE WARDINI - Measure of Success (Ep.415)

George Wardini returns to The Beirut Banyan.

We look back to 1983 and discuss similarities in the relative calm Lebanon experienced following Israel's siege of Beirut and expulsion of Arafat from Lebanon.

We also examine post-2024 war developments and security risks related to attempts at disarmament, what the potential of a wider Arab-Israeli peace deal under the Trump administration could mean for Lebanon, the need for the government to make Lebanon's case against Iran's inclinations to hold onto Hezbollah as a proxy militia, and why caution over confrontation remains the preferred mode of governance.

George Wardini is the founder and director of PolyBlog.

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Timestamps:
0:00 Intro
1:59 What changed
6:17 Caution vs Confrontation
11:37 Question of disarmament
14:50 Trump & Iran
22:15 “Peace”
28:59 Conflicting message
35:11 Measuring success
38:47 Lebanon’s case
42:27 Current govt support
47:21 Abnormal state
51:09 Network of interests
53:04 Personal evolution