Скачать или смотреть Amentum (AMTM) Stock: 🚀 The "Global General Contractor" vs. The Spinoff Discount

Welcome back to Griffonomics, where we conduct financial investigations to define the risk before we look at the reward. Today, we're diving into the "Show-Me" story of Amentum Holdings, the newly public government technology giant.

The Risk: We analyze the "Integration Hurdle"—the operational complexity of stitching together legacy Amentum and Jacobs’ CMS units while chasing $60 million in net synergies. We detail the "Back-End Loaded" FY26 guidance, where any slip in Q1 execution could amplify the effects of government budget volatility or potential shutdowns. We examine the $1.8 billion NASA COSMOS contract, currently frozen under protest, highlighting the inherent volatility of large-scale government awards.

The Reward: We define the "Valuation Dislocation" thesis, as AMTM trades at a nearly 50% discount to peers like Leidos due to temporary "forced selling" by S&P 500 indexers. We highlight the "Nuclear Renaissance" moat: Amentum manages 90% of the U.S. Department of Energy's nuclear infrastructure and recently secured a massive $1.8 billion decommissioning contract in the U.K.. We detail the aggressive deleveraging path, targeting a net leverage ratio of 3.0x by the end of FY26 to unlock massive share buybacks.

🎥 Video Chapters
Intro: The Spinoff Anomaly
The "Repair and Pivot" Strategy: Stability vs. Growth
Nuclear Dominance: Managing 90% of the DOE Infrastructure
Space Infrastructure: Assured Access and the $4B Range Deal
The Financial Fortress: $47B Backlog and 8.5% FCF Yield
FINAL VERDICT: Can Amentum Close the 50% Valuation Gap?


#AMTM #Amentum #DefenseTech #NuclearEnergy #SpaceInfrastructure #ValueInvesting #StockMarket2026 #FinancialAnalysis #InvestmentThesis #JacobsSolutions #Leidos #Spinoffs


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The content provided on the Griffonomics channel is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects the creator's personal opinions and research for their own portfolio. It is NOT financial advice. Always conduct your own thorough research before making any investment decisions.