#Athreat #levelbreakdown #severeweather
#storm #florida #winter
Threat level breakdown of severe weather threats facing Floridato guess Show Title Hide Title Severe storms will flare up in Southeast The southern flank strengthening system in eastern half of country will produce severe storms, including threat tornadoes. EDITOR'S NOTE As a rare and strong severe weather threat approaches, we're sharing forecasts and observations from WeatherTiger chief meteorologist Ryan Truchelut. Truchelut, who provides hurricane forecasts for the USA TODAY NETWORK, likens the storm's build-up to a series of winter storms that hit Tallahassee on Jan. 22, 2017, with sustained winds of 55 mph that downed trees, damaged homes and left more than 30,000 customers behind. weak. The estimate is below. Watch out, Florida. Another strong low associated cold front will bring potentially damaging winds, coastal flooding, the possibility of tornadoes, and heavy rainfall; The effects will begin tonight reach its peak in the morning hours of Tuesday . ) The key feature that distinguishes this system from garden-variety winter fronts is the booming low-level jet line driven by an extremely strong low air rising toward the Mississippi Valley. Winds about 1 mph above in atmosphere tomorrow will scream anywhere between 70 and 90 mph at center of this line, which will move eastward across Northern Florida and Deep South tomorrow, eventually reaching Northeast U.S. on Wednesday. Winds will be weaker but still strong on the Florida peninsula. As the storm line moves eastward tonight and tomorrow, some of the strong winds above will mix with ground level as wind. There is also a threat of severe weather ahead of the main line, particularly in western Florida and the west. Let's look at the main dangers one by one Wind Wind gusts of 45-60 mph pose the greatest threat Widespread damaging wind is this system's biggest threat. As low-level jet roars, even the slightest instability will bring these winds to surface as gusts. While instability will be high tomorrow, especially farther east, Deep South, Northern Florida and the Carolinas will actually see 45-60 mph winds starting early Tuesday and ending after storm. Expect winds of 60-70 mph along northern Gulf Coast and 60-80 mph inland in gust cells or the heaviest parts Look for winds. Winds in Central and South Florida will be around 30-45 mph Tuesday afternoon and overnight. These winds will damage trees and cause scattered power outages across Northern Florida and the Deep South. Be safe and off the road when storms hit and pick up any loose items in your yard tonight. If you don't want to spend the second half of the day collecting garbage tomorrow, this includes garbage bins. Coastal flooding and storm surge Look for a westerly and southern swell of 3-5 ft in these areas and 1-3 ft along the Florida Gulf Coast. Hurricane risks The tornado threat in this event is concentrated along the northern Gulf Coast, where there may be enough instability to form supercells overnight before the squall line develops. Hurricane safety How to weather the storm these safety tips on how to stay safe during and after a hurricane. Woçit The greatest risks are from far east Texas to far west Florida. There is a risk of rapidly developing, short-lived and unpredictable tornadoes in the Panhandle, especially tomorrow morning, so keep a way receive Tornado Warnings handy and be prepared to retreat the inner room. There is also the possibility of hurricanes further south and east, but the risks decrease in this direction. Heavy rain with the possibility of flash flooding Finally, there is also the possibility of local flash flooding with these storms, especially considering the recent abundance of rainfall. These risks are most severe from northern Gulf Coast to the northeast into Carolinas, where 2-4 inches of rain are expected. Totals in Florida will likely be 1-2 inches in the Panhandle and less than 1 inch on the peninsula, so flood risks are lower there. One thing to watch out for, though Turn around, don't drown, or better yet, stay off the roads during the storm tomorrow. There are a lot of moving parts here, so stay up to date with the latest developments from your local National Weather Service office and the Storm Prediction Center. And finally, for the first but probably not the last time in 2024 Stay safe, Florida. Dr. Ryan Truchelut is chief meteorologist at WeatherTiger, a Tallahassee-based start-up that offers forensic meteorology and expert witness consulting services, as well as agricultural and hurricane forecasting subscriptions. Contact ryanweathertiger and visit weathertiger for an enhanced, real-time version of our seasonal outlook.
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