Скачать или смотреть The Coming France Government Collapse and What It Means for the Future - is Macron become president

Government Defeated: On September 8, 2025, Prime Minister François Bayrou lost a confidence vote in the National Assembly by a margin of 364–194, bringing down his minority government just nine months after taking office.

Fallout from Austerity Plans: Bayrou’s bid to implement a sweeping €44 billion austerity program—including tax hikes, spending cuts, and the elimination of public holidays—sparked widespread opposition across the political spectrum.

Mounting Unrest and Instability: Analysts warn that the political stalemate, alongside protests, strikes, and market anxiety, threatens France’s fiscal credibility and economic stability.



---

What Comes Next

1. Caretaker Government

Bayrou will submit his resignation to President Macron and remain in office in a caretaker capacity until a successor is appointed.

2. Macron Must Name a New PM

President Macron is under pressure to appoint a new prime minister—his fourth in just 12 months—who can command enough support in parliament to pass the 2026 budget, due by October 7.

Possible candidates include a centrist bridge-builder or even a technocrat, as Macron seeks someone capable of forging broader consensus.

3. Budget Crisis Looms

The collapse of Bayrou’s government derails the 2026 budget containing €44 billion in cuts and reforms. A new government must introduce a revised proposal. Failure to do so could force reliance on an emergency rollover of the 2025 budget, potentially weakening France’s fiscal standing.

4. Persistent Political Deadlock

France remains mired in a hung parliament, with no cohesive majority bloc. Both far-left and far-right parties—though ideologically opposed—have united in blocking centrist-led reforms. This fragmented landscape complicates coalition-building and raises the risk of a prolonged impasse.

5. Economic Risks Intensify

With debt at 114% of GDP (around €3.3 trillion) and rising borrowing costs, credit agencies and investors are watching closely. Analysts caution that France may replace Italy as the eurozone’s “weak link.”
#france #macron #byrou #documentary