Скачать или смотреть Probability Modeling Market Trends

Ever wonder how the odds of certain market trends are calculated? Errol and Frank show you how to crunch the numbers using historical data on futures prices.

The probability of a market trending in one direction or the other is simply 0.5^(# of days), so you can see how likely it might be that stocks or any asset continues higher or lower for a consecutive amount of days. On the heels of a 9-day run higher in Small US Dollar futures, Errol and Frank show you how likely this move was. Then, the two traders talk about how they might trade the market now given this information. Learn all about probabilistic modeling and the memorylessness property on today's Small Stakes.