Road to COP: a challenging alignment between climate policy and sustainable development

Speaker:
Francesca Larosa – CMCC, KTH

Moderator:
Francesco Colelli – CMCC

A mere 12 percent of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is currently on track to meet the 2030 deadline in a world under climate change. Since their launch in 2015, the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the Paris Agreement have suffered persistent mismatches, which limit the potential for mutual gains. In this work, we use Artificial Intelligence (AI) – and specifically Large Language Models – to assess the degree and type of alignment between the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and the SDGs. While high income countries tackle the energy-infrastructure-community nexus in term of opportunity, lower income countries make climate impacts more explicit and center their narrative on trade-offs around the water-energy-food nexus. These two approaches mark different development trajectories and have non-negligible implications on international financial flow architecture and climate governance.