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澳洲刚发布的2个数字吓到我。第1个是澳洲人口突破2700万大关。2023年全年人口增加624,100,年增幅达到2.4%。从1992年到2022年的30年间,澳洲人口增幅平均只有1.3%。可以说2023年人口增幅创纪录。第2个是悉尼的别墅均价来到了160万澳币,历史新高,在2010年,悉尼别墅均价还只有64万。14年间均价上涨2.5倍。同一时期,人们可支配收入相对房价进一步下跌。悉尼成为了全球房价最贵第2名,墨尔本排第9。澳洲生活是越来越艰难了。按照现在的形势看,2024上半年经济将持续走弱,人均GDP将会持续负增长。那么房价会就此倒下吗?政府会不会推出什么大招,提振澳洲经济?为什么说2024年澳洲房市将会经历先减速后加速,成为下一波房市周期的起点?我对2024年澳洲房市的看法,你可能会觉得惊讶,反常识,甚至是不可理喻,但是只要你看完这期影片,一定会对市场有个全新的看法和定位。
00:00 警告! 房市危机来临?
01:30 澳洲梦已死
03:51 1990年代后
05:42 2000年代后
07:32 疫情
10:46 2024年预测
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