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Nvidia 2025 vs. Cisco 2000 The Crash Pattern Is Repeating.
INvidia Stock is currently tracing the exact "Parabola of Death" pattern that killed Cisco Systems in 2000. This is not just an AI Bubble; it is a calculated Wealth Transfer designed to turn retail investors into Exit Liquidity before the Stock Market Crash 2025 begins. The "Smart Money" knows the CapEx Cliff is coming. While the S&P 500 hits highs, Insider Selling screams that the top is in.

THE ANATOMY OF A MANIA 2000: Cisco was "Internet Plumbing." Valuation: Infinite. Reality: -89% Drop. 2025: Nvidia is "AI Brains." Valuation: Infinite. Reality: The chart is identical. 25 years apart. Same psychological trap. Wall Street sells you "The Future" so they can sell you their bags.

CHAPTER 1: THE DELUSION OF INFINITE DEMAND Markets are pricing NVDA for perfection. They assume Microsoft and Google will spend $50B/year on chips forever. The Truth: This is "Defensive Spending." Big Tech isn't buying chips to make profit; they are buying out of fear. When the fear subsides, the orders stop. The cliff is vertical.

CHAPTER 2: THE "DOUBLE ORDERING" DEATH SPIRAL How the crash happens:

Shortage creates panic.

Customers order 2x what they need (Phantom Demand).

Supply catches up. Scarcity vanishes.

Customers cancel orders. Inventory rots. Result: Margins collapse overnight. Cisco wrote off $2.2B in inventory. Nvidia faces the exact same supply glut.

CHAPTER 3: THE PASSIVE INVESTING TRAP You think you are diversified in the S&P 500? You are wrong. The index is 35% concentrated in Big Tech. It is a "House of Cards" resting on a single GPU architecture. If Nvidia sneezes, your 401(k) catches a fatal cold. Passive funds are forced buyers on the way up, and forced sellers on the way down.

CHAPTER 4: FOLLOW THE INSIDERS Jensen Huang is selling. Bezos is selling. Zuckerberg is selling. The Architects are cashing out at the peak while telling you to "buy the dip." If the CEO is selling, why are you buying?

THE CONCLUSION: The Federal Reserve printed the liquidity. The Hype Men sold the narrative. The Insiders are taking the exit. The only person left at the table is you. History doesn’t repeat. But the trap is eternal.

Don't be the liquidity.

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